This is the 7th of a 7 part series on The Risk Principle Simplified. Subscribe to our blog and get the next series delivered right to your inbox.
While the danger of over-intervening with low risk offenders is generally acknowledged and respected, there is a trend toward policy makers ignoring the opposite side of the coin. For a variety of political and financial reasons, high risk offenders are receiving low intensity interventions under a “fail first model”. Instead of matching intensity of the intervention to the assessed risk level, high risk offenders are being provided low intensity interventions with the idea that when they fail, they will be provided a higher level of supervision. This policy has negative consequences for the following stakeholders: Victims, Offenders and The EBP Movement.
Lastly, it is my personal belief that one of the most important elements of risk has to do with an offender’s ability, or inability, to create structure in their world without external forces. Some high risk offenders, with the assistance of strong, caring probation officers, can create structure without residential placement. Similarly, some low risk offenders, even with help, cannot adequately create their own structure and therefore need the controlled environment of residential in order to focus on change. Future research on this topic is likely to help us better identify where offenders should be placed, not just their risk level.
Practitioners have access to more data than most researchers. Perhaps your own experience and data holds part of the answer to this question. Use your data!
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